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Manchester United v Manchester City
Manchester is famous for its rain, but this derby should be raining goals.
City are great away and are hot favourites with reason. United have recovered with two decent results following that defeat to Liverpool.
The key stat when looking for betting value lie in goals conceded: United’s defence is deeply troubled and has only kept the opposition out once in 12 attempts. But City have been poor defensively too, with only two clean sheets in eight attempts.
Gold’s tip: Look at the over goals market. Premiership odds of 2.1 for both to score is a nice bet. After a lean spell Ronaldo is scoring again and he has played in enough Manchester derbies to know this means everything to the fans. Brazil star Jesus is in fine form for City and it wouldn’t surprise Gold if both find the net
Milan v Inter
Our best bet of the weekend.
From the great English Premier League derby to the great Italian Serie A derby: the football will probably be better in Manchester but the post-match dinner might be better in Milan.
This is Milan (2nd in Serie A) against Inter just behind them in third.
Milan were quite poor again in the Champions League but in Serie A they are almost unstoppable. They have a brilliant ten wins and a draw in 11 Serie A. Last weekend they defeated a good Roma side 2-1.
Inter have been scoring at a phenomenal rate (28 in 11 Serie A games) but have slipped up a few times results wise, including a recent 3-1 defeat to 10 man Lazio. We think the bookies have over-priced them to win at Serie A odds of just 2.26.
Gold’s tip: Bet Milan for the victory at Serie A odds of 3.2. Even more incredible value: Milan to win with both to score at Serie A odds of 5.5!
RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund
Huge money has gone on Leipzig after they pushed the superstars of PSG over two legs in the Champions League. But in the Bundesliga it is Dortmund who are second and who have consistently looked better than everyone bar Bayern Munich. Dortmund are great odds for the win at 3.57. You can even bet Dortmund with a +1 handicap at Bundesliga odds of 1.85.
Gold’s tip: RB Leipzig will have left a lot out on the pitch in that draw with PSG. Bet Dortmund either for the win or to be cautious either the handicap or draw no bet at 2.66 Bundesliga odds
Bayern Munich x SC Freiburg
As usual, the straight bet on Bayern is pointless at these Bundesliga odds (1.21) – but remember this is 1st v 3rd in the Bundesliga. As we keep saying, Freiburg are a good side under-valued by bookies.
EagleBet tip: We are tempted by Freiburg with a +3 handicap at Bundesliga odds of 1.75
Crystal Palace v Wolves
This match is about goals. Both teams score lots, and Palace let in lots. Wolves have Hwang Hee-Chan who has found his shooting boots.
Gold’s tip: We will probably bet the draw given that Palace have drawn their last four and are at home to a better Wolves side. But the sexy bet is both to score at Premier League odds of 4.5. Hee-Chan is a generous 4.1 for anytime scorer. Worth backing against a poor Palace backline.
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