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Golden Boot Predictions for the Bundesliga

haaland top scorer

It is the classic “two horse race”: the battle between Robert Lewandowski and Erling Haaland to score the most goals in the Bundesliga 2021/2. At least that’s according to the bookies. But we should remember in the race for the Golden Boot in the Bundesliga, André Silva scored a lot of goals last time, Patrik Schick is a top striker and this season there are some exciting young challengers like Florian Wirz. So are the bookies right that it is a straight battle between the ever-green Bayern Munich striker and the Borussia Dortmund hit man? And if so, which one of these great strikers will win?

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Bundesliga Golden Boot: Top 20 Goal scorers 2021/22

Becoming the top scorer in the Bundesliga was first celebrated in Germany over half a century ago thanks to Kicker magazine. The winner of the Golden Boot is crowned “Kicker-Torjägerkanone” (“kicker top scorer cannon”). You will find money to be made in the race for the Golden Boot if you follow our BetGold Betting Guide to be top scorer in the Bundesliga, just make sure you follow our tips and predictions.

Who will be top Bundesliga scorer this season?

NameGoalsAssistsPlayedGoals per 90Mins per GoalTotal ShotsGoal Conversion Shot Accuracy
Erling Haaland
Borussia
Dortmund
7351.40642432%59%
Jamie Vardy
Robert Lewandowski
Bayern Munich
7171.09822528%68%
Patrik Schick
Bayer 04
Leverkusen 
607.099912425%46%
Bruno Fernandes
Taiwo Awoniyi
FC Union Berlin  
5070.91991436%71%
Florian Wirtz     
Bayer 04
Leverkusen
4560.9892757%57%
Christopher Nkunku
RB Leipzig
4110.621451429%71%
Moussa Diaby
Bayer 04
Leverkusen  
4170.611471233%67%
Anthony Modeste
1. FC Köln
3070.66137 2218%32%
Joshua Kimmich
Bayern Munich
3370.44204650%67%
Wout Weghorst
VfL Wolfsburg
3  1  60.432101718%53%
Jacob Bruun Larsen
1899
Hoffenheim
3070.7512043%57%
Serge Gnabry
Bayern Munich
 3030.621461030%60%
Raphael Guerreiro
Borussia Dortmund
3040.551631030%    30%
Marc Oliver Kempf
VfB Stuttgart
3040.501781030%60%
Ellyes Skhiri
1. FC Köln
3070.48189838%50%
Leroy Sané
Bayern Munich
2360.412221513%47%
Filip Kostic
Eintracht Frankfurt
2370.39230729%57%
Jamal Musiala
Bayern Munich
2                                                                                                                                                                         270.9595367%67%
Simon Zoller
VfL Bochum 1848
2270.50180540%60%
Dominik Szoboszlai
RB Leipzig
2270.50181729%86%

Golden Boot: How to Bet Successfully

André Silva : A Sensible Striker Alternative - the real reds

We actually extended our list to 22 players so we could include André Silva – who was only behind Lewandowski last season and netted 28 times). And we thought it would be rude to delete Thomas Muller.

Our advice is: look for long-term scoring pedigree, ignore someone who is scoring more than usual. Only bet on strikers to finish Bundesliga top scorer. Go for a player for one of the very top clubs, as they will get more opportunities. Think about injury record, whether they will be first choice, and international duty (remember it is the African Cup of Nations this year, to the fury of many top clubs in Europe).

Also keep in mind that the two strongest candidates to be Bundesliga Golden Boot both attract lots of interest outside Germany, particularly Haaland. If for example Manchester City decide in January that what stands between them and winning the Premier League is their lack of a world class centre forward (OK, any centre forward) then that Haaland release clause could be triggered. At the moment though it looks as if Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund will do almost anything to keep hold of their star men, in January at least.

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Bundesliga Top Scorer 2021/21: Odds and Predictions to win the Golden Boot

Lewandowski scores 2 as Bayern hammers Dynamo Kyiv 5-0 | Loop Trinidad &  Tobago

Yes, you knew already: Lewandowski is hot favourite to be top scorer in the Bundesliga this season.

The question, though, is whether he represents the best value bet. ,

Yes, Lewandowski has ended the highest goalscorer in the Bundesliga four years running. He claimed the Golden Boot on two earlier occasions.

His total goals last season was 41 (gulp) and that was the biggest haul ever in the Bundesliga.

As Lewandowski looks to beat Muller’s record to win the Bundesliga Golden Boot yet again no one would be massively shocked.

Last year he scored 13 goals more than Silva and 14 more than Haaland in 3rd place.

His xG was 32 (Silva’s was 26, Haaland’s 22), with his xG just over one per match (1.17).

He took 137 shots against 117 for Silva and 93 for Haaland. (The other two must have wondered what more they had to do!)

Of these, almost half were on target, five more than Silva and 15 more for the young Norwegian.

He was getting 5 shots a match compared to 3.83 for the Portuguese and 3.5 for “the Terminator”.

The result? Lewandowski got 2.38 shots on target per game, compared to 1.96 for Silva and 1.86 for Haaland. And that, my friends, is why Lewandowski won the Golden Boot.

But that is now history and Lewandowski is another year older.

Here’s what’s interesting.

The stats show Haaland is just getting better and better.

He has netted 7 in 5 and is now getting more shots per game than Lewandowski. He has struck 26 shots and half have been on target.

Lewandowski this season is converting every 90 minutes, while Haaland is every 60 minutes.

His only rival scoring wise so far is Wirtz, but his undoubted Golden Boot glory will surely come a few years further on.

Silva hasn’t played us much so he is harder to assess – but given RB Leipzig are struggling a bit (though these two factors are surely related) its questionable whether he can compete this year with the other two.

Odds on Who Will Be Bundesliga Golden Boot “Kicker”

  • Lewandowski: 1.5
  • Haaland: 2.5
  • Silva: 51
  • Schick: 67
  • Plea: 101
  • Weghorst: 101
  • Stindl: 101
  • Kramaric: 101
  • Gnarby: 101
  • Muller: 150

BetGold Bundesliga Golden Boot Prediction for top scorer: Haaland

BetGold tip: Lewandowski is a legend, only a fool would dismiss his chances. But the stats show Haaland is starting to overhaul him. Haaland is also great value.

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Claim a Bonus an Bet on the Bundesliga Golden Boot

See our latest bonuses. So use a bookmaker’s cash to place your bet! Bet on the Bundesliga Kicker or Golden Boot winner.

Odds subject to change.

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